The Monday Effect – Why Stocks Are Trading Lower Today After a Big Gain Last Week
During the past week, the S&P 500 has gained 5.9%. This is the first time in over a year that the index has gained this much. However, the market is trading lower today, after the big gain last week. Here we will discuss about 2t 50b nsf 50b.
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S&P 500 gains 5.9% last week
Despite a few weak days, the S&P 500 jumped 5.9% last week. It was the first week of positive gains in more than two months. Investors are betting the Federal Reserve will slow its rate hike campaign. Inflation is still a concern, but cooler-than-expected readings of the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, and Core CPI are boosting hopes that rate hikes will be a little less aggressive.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped more than 1,200 points on Thursday, the largest single-day gain in nearly two years. The S&P 500 was up 35 points at the end of trading.
The Consumer Price Index showed inflation slowed more than expected last month, and the Producer Price Index showed that inflation fell in October. Both reports helped to reassure investors that the worst of inflation has passed. However, the annual rate of inflation in October was still below the Federal Reserve’s 8% target.
Investors have become increasingly worried that the rate hikes being undertaken by the Federal Reserve could lead to a recession. Despite a slowdown in inflation, the overall economy remains strong. The labor market remains robust, and the consumer spending power of Americans remains strong.
Traders are speculating that the Fed may slow its rate hikes in the autumn. Next week, investors will get a large collection of economic reports, including retail sales, housing, and producer prices. Each will provide more data to digest.
Stocks trade lower Monday after a big weekly gain
During the past week, stocks rallied to close out the month of November, but the markets traded lower Monday after the week’s big gain. This is called the Monday effect.
A brief description of the Monday effect is that it is thought that traders tend to sell off stocks on Monday in response to the week’s bad news. This effect is useful for predicting future market movements.
Stocks were little changed on Monday morning, with futures trading little changed during the day. However, the market popped on Friday when Disney announced that former CEO Bob Iger would replace Bob Chapek.
Another big news on Monday was that the Federal Reserve signaled it would hold off on further rate hikes. The Fed said it would wait until there is more clarity on how a slowdown in the economy will affect the United States.
While the Fed’s rate hiking cycle appears to be working, it is not yet clear how long it will continue. Despite a strong job market, it is possible that the Fed will not be able to push the United States into a recession.
In the meantime, investors are keeping tabs on the messaging from Fed officials. They also are monitoring the impact of the Black Friday holiday shopping spree on consumer behavior.